Posts Tagged ‘Prince Fielder’

Why the Red Sox Should Let Adrian Beltre Walk This Winter

August 19th, 2010

Adrian Beltre has been absolutely sensational for the Boston Red Sox this year. That's the thing though; it's been one sensational year. Beltre's track record says he will never have a batting average over .300 or an OPS (on base plus slugging percentage) over .900 ever again.

With an on base percentage of .366, Beltre hasn't been on base this much since 2004 when he had an OBP of .388. His 162 game average is .328. As recently as 2009, Beltre was on base at a clip of .304. He has also had an OPS lower than .800 nine times in his thirteen year career.

Can the Red Sox really count on Beltre to produce this much next year? Quite frankly, the reason he signed here in the first place for such a low salary was to set himself up for a long-term deal at age 31. By rewarding him with an extension, the Sox would be giving him the chance to stop working hard.

The last time Adrian Beltre signed a long-term deal was in 2005. He signed a five-year, $64 million deal with the Seattle Mariners after a career year in which he hit 48 home runs with the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2004. Looks like the Dodgers made the right decision to let him walk.

That's exactly the approach the Red Sox need to take. Beltre's track record speaks for itself. Have a monstrous season, get paid, stop working hard. After 2004, he was supposed to be in the prime of his career at age 26. Instead, he hit .255 with an OPS of .716 and had just 19 home runs in 156 games.

Beltre's defensive prowess has also been grossly exaggerated. He leads all American League third basemen with 16 errors and it isn't the first time he's led the league in errors. Beltre did the same thing in 2007. Somehow he won one of his two gold gloves that year.

Don't get me wrong. I love Adrian Beltre for everything he's done this year for the Red Sox. He's a very good hitter but his motivation has to be a question moving forward. It appears that he only plays well when there's money on the line. An extension would also leave the Sox with little flexibility in the offseason when Adrian Gonzalez and Prince Fielder will likely hit the trade market. Kevin Youkilis could just slide over to third base if the Sox are able to find a power hitting first baseman.

It's simple: Pay Adrian Beltre and you will pay. Just ask Seattle.

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Fantasy Baseball: Wednesday News and Notes

August 18th, 2010

 

Last Night Rewind

  • Chase Utley and Dustin Pedroia returned to their respective lineups after missing time with injuries. Pedroia went hitless in four at-bats, but he did immediately give the Boston lineup a bit more respectability. He will need to get his timing back and could struggle for a week. The same would be true for Utley. It could take Utley longer to fully be ready to go despite him being in the lineup. He went 0-for-5 last night.
  • Staying in Boston, there are multiple reports indicating that Jacoby Ellsbury could be done for the season. The outfielder is on the DL for the third time this season with a rib injury. Terry Francona indicated that it is going to be a matter of how much he can tolerate, as being 100 percent this year is likely out of the question.
  • Colby Rasmus was not in the lineup last night for the Cardinals. He indicated that he could miss the next four games with a strained calf muscle. If that is the case, daily leagues should certainly get him out of the lineup for Wednesday and consider him a question mark straight through the series against the Giants.
  • Justin Morneau took batting practice yesterday before the Twins' game against the White Sox. Batting practice was initially supposed to be the final step before a rehab assignment, but Morneau continues to battle symptoms upon completion of any activity. Look for an update on his condition today. Fantasy owners are certainly waiting on his return.
  • Seven days ago, Curtis Granderson was not in the lineup as the team looked to change his swing. It certainly seems to be doing the job. In his last 22 at-bats Granderson is hitting .364 with two home runs and two doubles. Over that stretch he has raised his average nine points up to .248. Not stellar, but a step in the right direction.

 

Wednesday Notes

  • Victor Martinez is 7-for-13 against Scott Kazmir with a home run. He has the best numbers on the roster, with Marco Scutaro checking in at .286. David Ortiz is 9-for-44 and Mike Lowell only 10-for-43, but he does have four home runs against the lefty. Adrian Beltre has struggled with a 3-for-20 mark against Kazmir as well.
  • Casey McGehee has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball over the last two weeks, but he is only 1-for-12 against Adam Wainwright. The bulk of the Brewers have struggled against him as well. Ryan Braun is only 7-for-38, and Prince Fielder is just 6-for-35. Even Rickie Weeks is sitting at 4-for-24. Craig Counsell is a .304 hitter in 23 at-bats against him and is the only Brewer with an average better than .265 against Wainwright.
  • Gavin Floyd was roughed up for the first time in a long time in his last start against Minnesota. Floyd is now 0-2 against them on the year, surrendering seven earned runs on 17 hits in 11.2 innings pitched. Denard Span is 10-for-21 against him, and Jason Kubel has four home runs in 32 at-bats to go with a .344 average.
  • Tim Hudson has been on a bit of a roll lately. Hudson has allowed just two earned runs over his last 36.2 innings pitched covering five starts. Josh Willingham is just 1-for-20 against Hudson while Ryan Zimmerman is only 5-for-31. Ivan Rodriguez and Adam Dunn both have solid numbers against Hudson and should be in your lineup here.
  • Alex Gordon has owned Fausto Carmona, going 8-for-16 against him overall. Mike Aviles cracks .300 as well with his 4-for-13 mark. Billy Butler is not stellar at only 5-for-20 without a home run. Carmona has lost three of his last four starts but is 6-3 on the road with a 3.30 ERA.
  • Francisco Liriano is 2-0 in three starts against the White Sox this year, including a win in his last time out against them. While he may have a tired arm, Liriano has still allowed just five earned runs in his last 31.1 innings pitched. He is 6-3 at home this season with a BAA of .226 and an ERA of 2.32. Avoid the 2-for-15 of Alex Rios, but look to use the 7-for-14 of Alexei Ramirez.
  • You will want the 11-for-33 of Carlos Beltran and maybe even the .279 mark of Jose Reyes in your lineup against Brett Myers, but the rest of the Mets have struggled. David Wright has four home runs against Myers but is only 6-for-28 lifetime. Jeff Francoeur is 7-for-38, and Luis Castillo is only 6-for-38.
  • There is cautious optimism on Jeremy Guthrie. The Orioles pitcher is 3-0 in August with a 1.71 ERA and a .171 BAA. In 21 innings this month he has allowed five walks and 13 hits. He has won four of his last five starts overall and worked into the seventh inning in five of his last six appearances.
  • It could be an even better welcome back for Chase Utley today. Utley is 6-for-12 against Matt Cain with three home runs. Cain has not necessarily been dominant of late, but he continues to pitch better than his record shows. He is not as good on the road as he is at home, posting just a 3-6 record away from San Francisco.
  • Spot Starts: Jason Hammel, Clayton Richard, Guthrie

 

Thursday Notes

  • Josh Beckett has had nothing but struggles, largely stemming from a lack of command in his fastball. The Angels have hit him well overall. Keep Torii Hunter, Howie Kendrick, Maicer Izturis, and Hideki Matsui in your lineups. Look to avoid the 2-for-15 of Alberto Callaspo and the .179 of Bobby Abreu where possible.
  • While you should look to avoid Alexi Casilla and the 4-for-20 of Jim Thome against Mark Buehrle, the rest of the Twins have very good numbers against the lefty. Michael Cuddyer, Denard Span, and Delmon Young are all well north of .300 against him, and each has two home runs. Buehrle is just 5-7 on the road this year.
  • Miguel Olivo should get the start against Ted Lilly. Olivo is 5-for-11 against the pitcher with three home runs. He has the only numbers worth noting in this one. Lilly is 3-0 since being acquired by the Dodgers and has posted a 1.89 ERA in those outings.
  • The bats that you would actually want to have in the lineup against Derek Lowe have not done particularly well against him. Adam Dunn has just a .179 average and no home runs in 31 at-bats against him while Josh Willingham is only 5-for-27. Ryan Zimmerman has a .263 mark, and Ivan Rodriguez is at .250. Adam Kennedy is the best of the bunch at .371 in 35 at-bats. Lowe is 0-2 against Washington with a 6.75 ERA this season.
  • Paul Maholm has lost four of his last five starts and has watched his ERA climb nearly a full run in those outings. Batters are hitting .362 against him in August, and he is only 5-7 at home on the season. Dan Uggla is only 3-for-16 against him, but Hanley Ramirez is 6-for-16 with two home runs, and Cody Ross is 4-for-11.
  • Spot Starts: Sean West, John Lannan, Travis Wood

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MLB Trade Rumors: San Francisco Giants Complete Deal for Jose Guillen

August 13th, 2010

The San Francisco Giants couldn't have had better timing. They completed a trade for Jose Guillen of the Kansas City Royals, just in time for the first game of a three-game set against the NL West-leading San Diego Padres.

Ken Rosenthal of Fox Sports broke the news via Twitter this morning, confirming a report from ESPNDeportes.

It's not known whether Guillen will be in the lineup for the Giants tonight, but I imagine we'll find out in the next few hours.

The Giants had been looking for a "big bat" before the trade deadline and chased the likes of Milwaukee's Prince Fielder and Corey Hart, along with Washington's Adam Dunn, but were unable to get deals done for any of the three.

The Royals have been wanting to move Guillen for some time, even offering to pick up most of his contract to get a deal done. There was talk out of Kansas City that the outfielder was a "bad influence" on the younger players.

There are plenty of veterans on the Giants, but there are plenty of young players as well. There are always those saying a "change of scenery" does wonders for a player, so I imagine that's what's being said on the San Francisco airwaves this morning.

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Lorenzo Cain Is Willing and Abel for Milwaukee

August 9th, 2010

With the recent trade of Jim Edmonds to the Cincinnati Reds, the Milwaukee Brewers have made it clear they feel rookie Lorenzo Cain has a bright future with the team. 

Drafted by the Milwaukee Brewers in the 17th round in 2004, Cain is another in a long line of talented players cultivated by the Brewers, who have produced some of the best young talent in the majors:

Prince Fielder. Ryan Braun. Rickie Weeks. Corey Hart. Yovani Gallardo. Alcides Escobar.

Like those that have come before him, Cain will excel for a franchise that simply knows how to find good, young ballplayers.

Cain's first professional experience came as a 19-year-old with the Brewers of the Arizona League, where he batted an impressive .356 with five home runs and 38 RBI in 50 games.

Besides his hitting ability and decent power, Cain also displayed great speed in the field and on the bases, allowing him to swipe 12 bags that first season.

Now 24 years old, Cain has developed patience and intelligence beyond his years.

He is not timid during his at-bats; he maintains a solid approach at the plate.

He clearly understands the game, as evidenced by his play in center field and his efficient base-running.

Cain began the 2010 season on the roster of the Huntsville Stars, the Double-A affiliate of the Brewers. He batted .324 with 79 hits, three home runs, 18 RBI, and 21 stolen bases in 62 games, earning a promotion to Triple-A Nashville.

With Nashville, Cain played only 22 games. Though his average dipped slightly to .299, he was still able to swipe five bases.  

Through August 8th, Cain has hit .500 in six games for the Brewers, adding a stolen base and three RBI in an 11-6 victory over the Astros.

Beyond his successful attitude, Cain has also been blessed with two things a talented coaching staff cannot teach: size and speed.

As one of a new breed of young outfielders, like Jason Heyward of Atlanta and Mike Stanton of Florida, Cain has substantial size. He stands at 6'2" and weighs 190 pounds, cutting an imposing figure at the plate.  

Cain has also shown good speed throughout his career, a skill that is badly needed by the Brewers. The team is in desperate need of a running threat after finding itself in the bottom half of MLB in stolen bases this year.

The stars have aligned for young Lorenzo Cain. The trade of Jim Edmonds and the recent concussion to Carlos Gomez have opened up playing time in the Brew Crew's outfield rotation.

Since Gomez will likely remain on the DL until rosters expand on September 1, Cain should have an adequate adjustment period to show his potential.  

Right now his future is full of "what ifs" and "could bes," but soon Cain will be a household name and for years to come.

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Joe Koshansky Can Help Brewers Fans Forget Prince Fielder

August 9th, 2010

 

A 28-year-old prospect is the perfect fit to replace All-Star slugger Prince Fielder?

I must be joking, right?

Not at all. 

I present Joe Koshansky.

Name not familiar? Well, I'll tell you a little about Joe. He's started in the bigs for the Colorado Rockies (although not much at all). He's a power bat, and can hit between .260 and .290, to go with his 40 home run potential.

He was drafted by the Colorado Rockies in the sixth round, pick 170, in the 2004 draft.

Now, how did such a gem fall into the lap of the Brewers organization?

Koshansky's had his fair share of trips through waivers, for varying reasons. Maybe it was his .216 batting average, which scared away the Texas Rangers. They dropped him to waivers after just one season with the organization. 

His original organization, the Rockies, didn't care much for his consistently-below .370 on-base percentage.

The real gem about Koshansky, though? He's got fantastic power.

In his seasons at the AAA level, he's hit 95 homers.

Add that to his impressive total of 362 RBI in those four AAA-level minor league seasons.

Point is, the Brewers need to think long-term about a solution to the impending Prince Fielder fiasco. Mat Gamel? Inconsistent, and has never really shown the polish to play great ball at the MLB level. Koshanky's first MLB start? He hit a homer, in what would be a 12-6 victory over the Marlins.

Koshansky was every bit of clutch that day.

That's something Prince Fielder seems to struggle with this year. His RISP avg is at just .210 this year. He's hit only four homers with men on base for him.

Yes, a whopping 20 of Fielder's 24 homers this year have been solo shots.

Koshansky's managed a .246 BA this season, but his .816 OPS is just short of Fielder's .848, and costs about $15 million a season less.

I think the case is pretty clear, that when the Nashville Sounds' hitting coaches and the scouts of the Brewers developing talent are sure, Koshansky will be a plenty suitable takeover at first base for the Milwaukee Brewers.

He's the perfect blend of Adam Dunn-like raw power, potential, and cheap cost, to keep the Brewers afloat, post Prince Fielder.

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